The main idea of the project is the accurate representation of costs and benefits of an ambitious climate policy in Poland. We want to answer the question of how to modernise Poland in order to reach the 2050 target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent, as set out in the Roadmap for the moving to a competitive low-emission economy in 2050.
It is important to shift the emphasis in the public debate and public policy agenda to modernisation based on innovation, efficiency and environmental friendliness. The project will present arguments for embedding climate policy in the wider modernisation agenda of the Polish economy.
The project will present various modernisation scenarios of the Polish economy, based on a dedicated econometric model. The scenarios will concern the energy, transport, construction, manufacturing and other sectors (waste management, agriculture, forestry). Assessment will also be made for the technological potential to reduce emissions by 2050. Experts working on the project will also conduct an analysis of cost-effectiveness and reduction potential of each technology at the microeconomic level. The project will also bring about alternative emission reduction scenarios for the year 2050 and their simulations.
The results of our work will be described in subsequent policy papers and summarised in the final report. The report will be of a scientific nature, far from any ideological preconception. It will be based on reliable data and econometric calculations. The report will present three scenarios for the Polish roadmap to reach a low carbon economy. For each of them, we will prepare a profit and loss analysis.
The project will undertake the following topics:
- hopes of the renewable and dissipated energy
- opportunities to reduce emissions in the power industry
- potential for reducing emissions in transport and industry
- reserves of energy efficiency
- micro-and macroeconomic costs and benefits of the package
- economic opportunities of Polish (eco)innovation
- externalities and social benefits
- financing and business potential
- regulatory and policy recommendations
COURSE IN THINKING AND PLANNING BASED ON IN-DEPTH ANALYSES
The researchers from both aforementioned Institutes have observed that decisions concerning the development of Poland are rarely based on in-depth analyses, reliable data and calculations. This is particularly evident in the area of energy and climate. The activities carried out under this project are designed to provide policy-makers, businessmen, strategists and other officials, with detailed analyses that will help them plan for the future of Poland and make decisions that will benefit the current and future generations. We are committed to using the project for more advanced and innovative policies, especially in industry, innovation, energy and climate, and a more active role of Poland in the shaping of the European energy and climate policy.
Project "Low- Emission Poland 2050" is meant to promote:
- Evidence-based policies
- Reforms, for example in industrial, innovation, regulatory, energy and climate policies
- Gradual construction of a low-carbon economy in Poland
- Innovation in industry, energy, transport
- A more active role of Poland in creating an ambitious pro-development policy environment in Europe
Low-Emission Poland 2050 is a project carried out by two independent organisations: the Warsaw Institute for Economic Studies and the Institute for Sustainable Development, and is financially supported by the European Climate Foundation.