2050.pl - the journey to the low-emission future

Today Poland can choose between two broad future paths. The first one retains the current status quo with respect to the reform agenda and delayed reaction to global trends. The alternative is a modernisation scenario, in which future development is based on three pillars: high quality public institutions and legislation, creativity and innovativeness and resource and human resource efficiency.

We are convinced that Poland of the future needs to be a creative, institutionally competitive and culturally attractive country, but before everything else the country aware of the fact that the growth cannot take place at someone else’s expense – citizens of developing countries and future generations. To make this happen we have to change our ways of thinking and behaving and invest in innovativeness, resources efficiency and quality of public institutions. In the report we prove, while analysing a complex modernisation package in the Polish energy sector, the industry, agriculture and services, that such a modernisation is at the fingertips.

Reports

2050.pl - THE JOURNEY TO THE LOW-EMISSION FUTURE

In 2012 our two institiutes initiated efforts to prepare a document analysing possibilities of transforming the Polish economy into a low-emission one by 2050. The economy respecting the natural environment, taking into account interest not only of current but also future generations, for which a clean air, an untouched landscape and the public health are not less important than the financial profit. Today we provide you with an elaboration – a result of our work. We hope that it…

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Reports

2050.pl - THE JOURNEY TO THE LOW-EMISSION FUTURE - SUMMARY

After over 20 years of the transition to the market economy and fostered by European integration, Poland can choose between two broad future paths. The first one retains the current status quo with respect to the reform agenda and delayed reaction to global trends. In this scenario unwillingness to undertake important structural reforms will make Poland follow the path of the South European countries and fall into the middle income trap. The alternative is a modernisation scenario, in…

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Reports

THE INTRODUCTION TO THE REPORT

The decisions taken today determine whether in the future Poland will be an economic tiger or a straggler in a world which rushes ahead. If they are taken without robust and in-depth economic analysis, in 20-30 years Poland may be pushed to the peripheries of developed countries. Bearing this mind, the Low-Emission Poland 2050 Project was inspired by the observation that, in contrast to many European countries, Poland had no document  in place which would set out the direction of…

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Reports

Part I - MODERNISATION DILEMMAS

Nowadays, Europe faces the challenge of returning to the path of rapid but, at the same time, sustainable growth. Sustainable development, as we may also refer to it, calls not only for sound economic foundations but also for firm social and environmental basis in equal part. Which economic system can reconcile the three aforementioned dimensions? Are the old formulas still reliable, save that we need to be more effective when implementing them or, alternatively, are we supposed to…

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Reports

Part II - ENERGY EFFICIENCY

When deliberating about the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions, Polish press concentrates mainly on the energy sector and keeps forgetting about other sectors, such as households, services, transport and agriculture which are equally active energy producers and consumers. They are frequently responsible, to the extent that is not smaller than the extent of the energy sector’s liability, for the emissions of not only carbon dioxide but also such substances harmful to human life…

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Reports

Part III - A LOW-EMISSION ENERGY SECTOR

Although in financial terms the energy sector does not seem to constitute the basis of the economy, in fact it determines its functioning and may decide whether it enjoys a success or suffers a defeat. The present Part is dedicated to an analysis of the prospects for the development of this sector in Poland and the possible options of its transformation in the timeframe to 2050. The aim of the analyses presented here is to dispel the many myths which have grown round the Polish energy…

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Reports

Part IV - THE ECONOMICS OF LOW-EMISSION MODERNISATION

In this part, we sum up the significance of the low-emission transformation for Poland’s modernisation in the coming forty years. Here, we try to deal with the misgivings presented by those who are sceptical about the shift from the coal orientation in our energy sector: its high costs for investors, its adverse impact on energy prices and costs of living, a threat for economic growth and the problem of energy security. In the light of the doubts voiced by opponents of climate…

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Reports

Part V - THE CLIMATE FOR CLIMATE POLICY

In the Polish public debate there is now a clash between three views on the European climate policy: sceptics take action to reduce its importance, minimalists want to keep the policy in its present shape, while its supporters take efforts to ensure that more ambitious targets are set for the future. Almost all the important actors of public life (including political parties, the public administration and the majority of business representatives)  represent the first two of the…

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